Ignorance is bliss, and I’m the frontrunner for king of the castle.
When I pull into a gas station to fill-up and fuel has jumped 20 cents a gallon overnight, I don’t ask questions. I simply consider the options: walk, Uber, beg a ride from a friend, buy a moped, or go home and crawl up in a ball. Then, I dig deeper into my wallet and turn a blind eye until the next increase at the pump shocks me deeper into denial.
Until recently, I couldn’t imagine that same ignorance would ever enter my work life. Then along came newsprint tariffs. I reasoned that newsprint prices have fluctuated constantly throughout my career and this latest increase was just another one of those things we couldn’t control, so we’ll take it in stride and move on to something we could control.
It was at this point I realized I was leading the pack for ultimate king and figured perhaps this “tariff thing” was something more than just another attempt by my local newsprint supplier to push up costs and line their pockets—it’s an action that could jeopardize more than 600,000 workers nationwide in the publishing and paper industries and significantly drive up costs for us all.
What are the Newsprint Tariffs All About?
According to a Buffalo News article posted on the STOPP (Stop Tariffs on Printers & Publishers) website, the current newsprint tariffs are driven by a strategy of North Pacific Paper Co. (NORPAC) to manipulate U.S. trade policy. Other articles on the STOPP website go on to explain that after the recent purchase of NORPAC by One Rock Capital Partners of New York, (who on their website describe NORPAC as “a carve-out from Weyerhaeuser and Nippon paper”), “NORPAC, an outlier in the paper industry that is looking to use the U.S. government for its own financial gain” filed a petition resulting in duties which were assessed by the Department of Commerce in January and March.
The primary duties assessed were countervailing duties (CVD) and anti-dumping duties (AD) on imports of Canadian uncoated groundwood papers including newsprint and other papers. I highly recommend you review the STOPP website at stopnewsprinttariffs.org for a detailed explanation of these terms.
Before I get into the impact these tariffs will have on our industry, I want to give credit to STOPP for their efforts. STOPP recently launched its new website and is inviting any interested parties to join in the fight to overturn these tariffs which have the potential to be devastating to our entire industry.
Joel Quadracci, chairman, president and CEO of Quad Graphics, was quoted by STOPP saying, “This will result in driving up the costs of print and force an even faster migration to digital options at a time when our industry is already being severely disrupted.”
That about sums it up, but there is so much more that can be said.
One of the more recent articles I’ve read on newsprint tariffs was published by Paul Tash, chairman and CEO of Times Publishing Co. (publisher of the Tampa Bay Times). I felt it accurately reflected how the tariffs will hurt readers and the industry in general. Tash hits on many of the same subjects I’ll cover here, including his statement that “To help offset the extra expense of paper, publishers will eliminate jobs. Make no mistake: These tariffs will cause layoffs across American newspapers.”
Tash also states that “now that the tariffs are taking effect, the American companies are hiking their own prices, so we have little room to shop around.”
This “fallout,” as I choose to refer to it, is collateral damage from a trade war we didn’t really want to get into.
I recommend you get involved with STOPP. They are doing excellent work defending our industry against what some consider the most significant industry challenge to come along in awhile.
According to STOPP, the International Trade Commission is conducting its final investigation throughout the spring and is expected to reach a final determination regarding any injury or potential injury to the domestic industry by September of this year. Until then, we’ll all be paying as things work their way through Washington.
As an industry, with many of our brethren hanging on by slim margins and facing tariffs that could send them over the edge, the first thing we need to do is have a plan. While the cost/percentage of increase is still up in the air, rest assured it will have a significant impact on how your newspaper does business in the future.
With the steady decline of print media over the past years, most properties have already dipped into the “savings well” time and time again, and right now it’s just about dry. Things that we do to offset this tariff will most assuredly have a negative effect on the printing industry as a whole, and I sincerely hope that we can recover. Those of you who know me well have probably never once heard much “politics” come out of me (it’s not my style), but I wholeheartedly agree with a statement by The Daily Signal that “an America first policy is the one that supports the job-creating investment of a dynamic economy. Taxing newsprint is a backward-looking, America-last, investment-last, and jobs-last policy.”
So it’s time to get to the core of the issue—what can we do about it?
Sit down with your newsprint budget and make your best assessment of how much your budget is going to swell from these tariffs. In the aforementioned article by Tash, he estimated that the Tampa Bay Times could be facing more than a 30 percent increase, adding more than 3 million dollars in annual newsprint expenses. That is a staggering number and one that will not be able to be absorbed into normal operating expenses.
Let’s go after the less painful cuts first and slowly you’ll see a progression towards less desirable solutions. I want to be clear that I understand that most—if not all—of these may have already taken place in your newspaper. My suggestions are to simply review these ideas and implement them as they fit into your organization.
- Increasing subscription costs to readers. Considering some of our loyal readers often make a choice between renewing their subscription and grocery shopping, there isn’t going to be a lot of benefit to our industry raising prices, but it’s going to happen. Additional operational costs as a result of paper tariffs is going to do nothing but hasten additional subscription increases and drive readers to other media choices.
- Increasing rates to advertisers. When we announce this, we’ll probably each get a personalized thank you note from Craigslist for continuing to drive customers to their site. In all seriousness, what other alternatives might we end up having? Someone in Washington should have given this a little more thought before imposing tariffs.
- Increasing charges to commercial print customers. Many of our print contracts are based on newsprint price and are adjusted according to price per ton. Depending on whichever side of this increase you’re on, it doesn’t matter because everyone loses. If you’re the commercial account and your price goes up, you lose. If you’re the printer and you raise prices, chances are your client will reduce their page count or draw to offset the price increase and you’ll lose revenue. Lose/lose, like most of the damage caused by these tariffs.
- Waste reduction on press. We all pride ourselves on putting out a product we can be proud of, however as your press crew battles to get to first, good newsprint is falling into the waste stream. Take a look at your start-up procedures and what, if anything, you can do to reduce waste. Be careful not to compromise advertiser or editorial quality but still, turn over every rock. Meet with the newsroom if they have issues with remakes, meet with your press crew to hear their ideas on what can be done differently. I’m simply saying make the effort.
- Reduction of returns. Any good circulation director will tell you that if you don’t make papers available in the field you can’t sell them and single copy revenue will suffer as a consequence. If your percentage of returns is excessively high, do what you can to control it. Are you sending 20 copies to a small convenience store on the fringe of your market and bringing back 15? Check on sales, and make sure that if you have racks in areas of high pilferage that it still makes sense to keep racks there. Review and monitor your field sales and adjust your draws accordingly.
- Review NIE copies. This will depend on policy and any other non-paid copies that can be reduced. Years ago, many newspapers provided complementary copies to public service and other local groups as a gesture of community support.
- Convert print subscribers to digital. This is obvious, yet it pains me to say it. I love print, but as our digital world continues to thrive, running specials to move readers and advertisers to digital just makes sense (and saves newsprint).
- Elimination or reduction of TMC products. Every suggestion here has a downside. The downside here is missed opportunities to reach non-subscribers, less opportunities for advertisers to reach these readers, and driving more advertisers to digital or mass mailings through other vendors.
- Special sections. Evaluate special sections reviewing each P & L and watch for switching advertising dollars between sections and core publications. Focus more on ROP to sustain the news hole and healthy advertising/editorial percentages.
- Consolidate sections. If you have a weekly section that you run as an advance, take a look at the P & L for this run. Often “leaning up” and incorporating advance sections into the main can reduce newsprint waste and have little or no impact on advertising revenues.
- Reduction of pages in special products. Many of us print TV tabs, puzzle books, comics and other features and insert them into our core products. Monitor draws for these products to eliminate newsprint waste while also reducing the number of pages published in these special products. Will it hurt the reader? Yes. Will it take away from the value in our products? Yes. Is it yet another step backward for the industry? Yes. But will we save newsprint and expense? Definitely.
- Hopefully reader reaction will be limited. Reducing your puzzle book from 24 to 20 pages might not cause a riot in the streets, but it is another takeaway we’re being forced into by the tariffs. If you question reader reaction by taking away a comic or two, try putting in a wrong comic strip by accident one day, and you’ll quickly realize how many people are loyal readers of comic pages. Readers will notice and feel they’re being given less. It’s another lose/lose situation.
- Web reductions. Before you write me to call me “Captain Obvious” (that actually happened already), yes, I do realize that most of us already have done this, and done it again and again, but guess what? Not all of us have. In the last year, I’ve converted a dozen commercial clients from a wider web and saved them money in the process. If your paper is not running on the leanest web possible, take a look at why and cost savings related to this change.
- Reduction of pages in core publications. Evaluate your advertising/news percentage in your daily. Everyone has their own opinion, mine is if it’s not close to 50/50 you either need to reduce your page counts or increase your advertising inches. Make a sincere effort to cut a couple pages out of the daily each day. It really adds up over time. To repeat myself: Is it going to hurt readers, value, quality, etc.—sure thing! But it adds up in newsprint savings very quickly and beats the next few suggestions I’m going to have.
- Elimination of publication days. Many newspapers have already jumped on this bandwagon. Monday and Friday editions are most commonly the target, hoping to move preprint revenue to other days of the week and of course saving newsprint by the truckload. The obvious downside here is huge.
- Risking additional losses in ad revenue to an already challenged industry
- Serious loss of circulation revenue
- Less news coverage and connections to our communities
- Driving subscribers away from print
- Reducing employees from full-time to part-time with some losing benefits that provide for their families
- Hastening the demise of print
- Job losses/workforce reductions. More than 600,000 jobs in the U.S. in one way or another rely on groundwood paper—jobs at our newspapers, newsprint mills throughout the country, book publishers and others. The affect on our industry will most likely be devastating. For most newspapers, the next largest expense behind human resources is paper. Increasing this cost by double digit percentages will result in necessary reductions in a workforce already suffering from severe workforce anemia. There isn’t much more you can say here besides the ending result is going to hurt.
Before I wrap things up, I’d like to touch on price increases and supply shortages from U.S. newsprint suppliers. At least one of these suppliers—Resolute—has joined STOPP to fight the tariffs, and I applaud them for the effort.
When the tariffs were announced, almost instantaneously U.S. suppliers passed along an increase of their own. I spoke with a Resolute representative and asked why a U.S. supplier, located in the U.S., to whom we don’t pay an import fee to would increase their pricing. It truly seemed to me like kicking publishers while they were down. I don’t know if the answer justifies things, but it did make some sense to me.
U.S. mills are currently operating at 97 percent of capacity. Resolute alone has taken 70 machines off-line since 2007 in response to industry cutbacks. It isn’t easy, quick or inexpensive to get these mills back up and running, so for at least the immediate future, we’re going to have to deal with shortages and higher prices from U.S. suppliers due to the fact they’re working overtime and putting additional capital into their operations to keep up with supply and demand.
Regardless of NORPAC’s stand, it is apparent to me that this is not a trade matter, but more so a result of the steady decline in print products resulting in the progressive decline in demand for newsprint across the U.S.
So far, more than 1,100 newspapers had already written letters critical of the tariffs and warning that imposing retaliatory import duties would have a “very severe impact on our industry.” Evidently, these pleas fell on deaf ears in Washington.
Jerry Simpkins is vice president of the West Texas Printing Center, LLC in Lubbock, Texas. Contact him on LinkedIn.com or at [email protected]
Editor’s Note: Senators recently introduced the “PRINT Act” to protect printers and publishers from unwarranted tariffs.