Even in the afterglow of a truly super Tuesday, the chief HIllary Clinton backers today have not outlined a plausible scenario for how she actually overcomes the Obama lead and gets enough delegates to win — except that two of them, Terry McAuliffe and Gov. Ed Rendell, are now introducing the possibility of a re-vote in Michigan and Florida.
If Hillary wins big there, then she has a shot, but the Clinton managers have resisted the idea, claiming, until now, that they already won in those states — even though they were “illegal” primaries from the party’s view. Florida is now discussing shelling out the money to do the vote, and if that happens, Michigan will likely follow.
Now Obama is on the spot. He can plausibly claim that Clinton had agreed to party rules, now wants to break them, so tough luck. But the party can shift course itself and say it’s okay if the two states want to spend the money to vote again.
Then Obama looks like he has dissed the voters in those states, who would then take it out on him — running up the exact big margin she needs to win. That could happen. He may have to agree to a vote and a fair fight — which would make this a whole new ballgame, with The New Math suddenly not so one-sided in his favor.