Predictions for E&P Last Year on 2008 Campaign, By Top Newspaper Political Bloggers, Didn’t Pan Out

By: E&P Staff

Last November, for a cover feature on Campaign 2008, E&P’s Joe Strupp asked several top reporters for newspaper blogs to predict the nominees for president, before the primary season started.

The crystal balls weren’t working too well at the time, it turns out.

Of the five who were queried, not a single one picked Barack Obama. At the time, Obama was widely given a fair shot to win, but four of the five (James Pindell of The Boston Glove, Frank James of the Chicago Tribune, Chris Cillizza aof The Washington Post and Andrew Malcolm at the Los Angeles Times) picked Hillary Clinton and the other writer did not choose (Kate Phillips, The New York Times).

On the GOP side, James did select McCain. Cillizza and Malcolm named Mitt Romney, Phillips and Pindell remained safely silent.

Asked to name a “dark horse,” Pindell and Phillips chose Mike Huckabee, Malcolm picked John Edwards and Cillizza eyed both Huckabee and Edwards. So Obama wasn’t named at all.

All five chose Iraq as the chief campaign issue — but it has now been supplanted by the economy.

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