Despite the 2020 Election Results, You Can Still Trust Polling. Mostly.

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Some pundits discussing the 2020 pre-election polls are treating the year as if it’s joined the trifecta of polling fiascos: the U.S. presidential elections of 1948, 2016 and 2020. In 1948, George Gallup confidently predicted that Thomas Dewey would defeat President Harry S. Truman; in 2016, pollsters expected Hillary Clinton to defeat Donald Trump.

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