Gallup: Obama Now Posing Threat to Hillary in 2008 -- Giuliani Leads McCain

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By: E&P Staff After a whirlwind political campaign and press tour riding a bestselling book, Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois now trails Sen. Hillary Clinton by only 12% among Democratic voters (and Democratic-leaning independents) as their choice for president in 2008, in a new Gallup poll.

On the GOP side, Sen. John McCain surprisingly trails former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani by 2%.

The poll was conducted Nov. 9-12.

Clinton leads with 31%, and Obama holds 19%. Former Sen. John Edwards comes in third, with 10%, followed by former Vice President Al Gore (9%) and Sen. John Kerry (7%). Sen. Joseph Biden draws 4%, Gen. Wesley Clark 3% and Sen. Evan Bayh and Gov. Bill Richardson just 2% at this point.

Giuliani tops McCain 28% to 26%, with Condoleezza Rice at 13%. Newt Gingrich has 7% and Gov. Mitt Romney 5%.

Gallup makes this interesting observation: "None of the four current front-runners across both parties appears to be resonating with a particular political wing of their party, at least at this point. Giuliani and McCain are about tied among conservative Republicans as well as among moderate/liberal Republicans. Similarly, there is relatively little difference in support for Clinton versus Obama between self-described conservative Democrats and moderate/liberal Democrats."

Clinton's edge over Obama among women is somewhat greater than the overall tally: it's 38% to 18%. But she also leads among men, 23% to 20%.

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